Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000105 0.000116 0.000128 0.000142 0.000157 0.000174 0.000193
2025-12-21 0.000089 0.000104 0.000121 0.000142 0.000167 0.000196 0.000231
2025-12-28 0.000076 0.000094 0.000115 0.000142 0.000175 0.000215 0.000268
2026-01-04 0.000068 0.000088 0.000112 0.000144 0.000186 0.000239 0.000312
2026-01-11 0.000061 0.000081 0.000108 0.000144 0.000194 0.000260 0.000354
2026-01-18 0.000055 0.000076 0.000104 0.000144 0.000201 0.000279 0.000395
2026-01-25 0.000050 0.000071 0.000100 0.000143 0.000206 0.000296 0.000435
2026-02-01 0.000046 0.000067 0.000097 0.000143 0.000213 0.000315 0.000480
2026-02-08 0.000042 0.000062 0.000093 0.000141 0.000216 0.000330 0.000519
2026-02-15 0.000038 0.000059 0.000090 0.000140 0.000221 0.000347 0.000562
2026-02-22 0.000036 0.000056 0.000088 0.000140 0.000227 0.000366 0.000610
2026-03-01 0.000033 0.000053 0.000085 0.000139 0.000230 0.000381 0.000653
2026-03-08 0.000031 0.000052 0.000084 0.000141 0.000240 0.000408 0.000719
2026-03-15 0.000030 0.000050 0.000083 0.000142 0.000247 0.000430 0.000780
2026-03-22 0.000028 0.000047 0.000080 0.000141 0.000252 0.000449 0.000835
2026-03-29 0.000026 0.000046 0.000080 0.000143 0.000261 0.000477 0.000912
2026-04-05 0.000025 0.000044 0.000078 0.000144 0.000268 0.000501 0.000981
2026-04-12 0.000023 0.000043 0.000077 0.000143 0.000273 0.000521 0.001048
2026-04-19 0.000022 0.000041 0.000075 0.000142 0.000277 0.000540 0.001111
2026-04-26 0.000021 0.000039 0.000073 0.000142 0.000283 0.000563 0.001185
2026-05-03 0.000020 0.000038 0.000071 0.000141 0.000285 0.000578 0.001245
2026-05-10 0.000019 0.000036 0.000070 0.000140 0.000288 0.000597 0.001315
2026-05-17 0.000018 0.000035 0.000069 0.000140 0.000294 0.000621 0.001398